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On Saturday evening, 15th Metz will host 16th placed Caen on their Saint-Symphorien in Longeville-lès-Metz. Only three points are between those two teams, and with win, Metz would make a important step in relegation battle, which has "officially" started. Whole analysis here: http://www.fa-p.eu/2017/04/metz-caen.html
Odds on Metz looked as a gift for me, but stake on prediction was only 3 units as I wanted to be little bit more careful. Many things from analysis had happened in this match. First half was more or less boring, without serious chances, while in second Metz started playing better, more direct. Sarr scored with amazing overhead kick, but unfortunately Caen scored as well. And they scored exactly from predicted situation. Set-piece, cross into the box and header, this time by Santini. Metz pressed more after equalising goal of Caen, and action on right flank ended with nice assist by Balliu and as predicted, Diabate continued his good form on Symphorien with a scored goal. 2 minutes before the end, Delaplace was on the ball on the right side of attack, turned in the middle and send a cross into the box, where Biševac and Balliu weren't good enough with covering Rodelin, who scored with a header and final result was 2-2. I seriously don't understand why Hinschberger didn't use tall defender Milàn in this match. 2-2 means, that my prediction was half lost.
I am former football player, played and trained under different coaches, also in the highest division, but stopped playing because of pretty serious back injury. I’ve been always passionate about tactics and my analysis are pretty different then analysis you are used to see. I am trying to predict who will have bigger possession, possibilities of creating chances, on which areas of pitch teams will be in advantage, and where in disadvantage. Calculations are more or less made on average performances of players/teams, and because the ball is round I am aware that everything can happen, but sports betting business is long distance run and in long term I know that this tactics is bringing me good results. Thanks to a friend, I was lucky to get to know the world of arbing. I believe that many of you don’t know this word, but it’s about sports arbitrage, where you are covering both (all) sides of the bet. Because of arbing, my knowledge about odds, bookmakers, odds movements, closing odds, is much much bigger. Remember, that knowing just the sport side of sports betting is not enough!