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I would consider home factor quite relevant here to amend Gremio's natural advantage here. Gremio is living a four match winning streak and is in decent form. Gremio is a little more tired as they played with the regular team in the midweek for Brazil Cup. Ponte Preta however remains quite weaker and Gremio's squad is somewhat "drunk on great morale" which is reflecting as impressive results. I would see Gremio -0 @ 1.74 the fair line here and AH is giving a quarter ball of value.
Gremio +0.25 @ 1.77
Quite poor 0x0 result, the match was level as expected. Ponte Preta wasted a few chances but still the early market handicap wasn't correct. half win at the +1/4 line